Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1.605540 1.845041 2.108268 2.419090 2.776188 3.173750 3.650166
2025-06-15 1.320959 1.647149 2.035765 2.533124 3.153291 3.901884 4.875462
2025-06-22 1.084292 1.450500 1.918167 2.559765 3.418420 4.529949 6.081774
2025-06-29 0.890303 1.267201 1.778939 2.525484 3.589121 5.053945 7.231831
2025-07-06 0.719752 1.082771 1.603386 2.405780 3.614856 5.374924 8.143758
2025-07-13 0.645193 1.020788 1.586957 2.504403 3.959347 6.187347 9.878025
2025-07-20 0.588221 0.974630 1.584303 2.618722 4.337984 7.096090 11.887105
2025-07-27 0.535058 0.925148 1.567120 2.703626 4.676350 7.980267 13.977597
2025-08-03 0.481656 0.866469 1.525059 2.738024 4.930300 8.752161 15.980390
2025-08-10 0.419549 0.783144 1.428577 2.662029 4.977100 9.167161 17.402034
2025-08-17 0.359050 0.693846 1.308883 2.525722 4.892075 9.328518 18.368481
2025-08-24 0.322191 0.643559 1.253567 2.501126 5.010906 9.877498 20.143091
2025-08-31 0.285176 0.589320 1.186382 2.449814 5.081804 10.365528 21.915657
2025-09-07 0.272148 0.581527 1.209307 2.583121 5.545212 11.698540 25.631471
2025-09-14 0.250887 0.553585 1.187636 2.620675 5.814318 12.670490 28.729753
2025-09-21 0.226293 0.514939 1.138279 2.591466 5.934561 13.342155 31.267967
2025-09-28 0.197662 0.463238 1.053737 2.471835 5.835015 13.516370 32.695000
2025-10-05 0.188775 0.455471 1.065790 2.575118 6.263999 14.945553 37.302794
2025-10-12 0.181506 0.450463 1.083396 2.693853 6.746585 16.566154 42.626479
2025-10-19 0.172759 0.440605 1.088178 2.781901 7.166396 18.093438 47.950717
2025-10-26 0.161728 0.423473 1.073013 2.817703 7.459261 19.346493 52.756747
2025-11-02 0.145806 0.391541 1.016794 2.739699 7.445156 19.815564 55.539423
2025-11-09 0.128645 0.353944 0.941154 2.599502 7.244506 19.767649 56.890046